Followers of Newcastle United are progressively seeing the team's side as an inconsistent companion. At their brilliant best, they prove to be the undisputed entertainers, unleashing high-intensity displays. However, in other matches, previously reliable individuals like their midfield linchpin and his teammates utterly fail to appear.
Compounding this issue is a second-half game management suffused by a pronounced element of chaos. Before their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the numbers reveal a troubling picture: they have let slip thirteen precious Premier League points from winning positions this campaign and are without a clean sheet in ten straight outings in every tournament. Claiming a win at Old Trafford would constitute only their second league triumph on the road this season.
Conversely, a loss has been tasted once in their most recent six Premier League fixtures, and although sitting in a modest eleventh place, they remain a only six marks away from the highly-prized Champions League places. Factor in an looming two-legged Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a reasonable chance of advancing to the Champions League last 16, and it is easier to see the manager's cautious hope.
“It's not only about issues,” stated the club's boss. “There are assets also. The perspective here is decidedly half full right now. I realize outside observers might have a divergent opinion, but my belief is we are getting better.”
The question remains: will this squad match – or perhaps surpass – the achievements of last season's cup glory and European-qualifying standing? Balancing a packed schedule complicates.
This tiredness might be the reason behind the inability to uphold a brilliant first-half showing versus Chelsea, eventually squandering a 2-0 lead to draw the game. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the team looked off the pace just days after a grueling European excursion.
While on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's forte, the constant grind of twice-weekly football has radically limited valuable practice sessions. This hinders the squad's tactical adaptation to operating with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While immensely gifted, the German forward has not shown the same searing breakaway speed or ferocious pressing.
In fact, the team's previously effective pressing game has at times failed. Fitness issues to crucial cog the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while expensive arrivals Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have struggled adapting since their big-money moves.
While a switch to a back three might arguably assist the team, a worsening defensive injury list renders that unlikely. Important defenders will be missing for the next key fixtures, straining the team's resources.
When playing at their ferocious peak, they appear almost unstoppable. The issue is maintaining that intensity for the full 90 minutes. The go-to plan B of sitting back into a passive defensive shape has sometimes been self-destructive.
“The Chelsea match became anarchic at two-all,” said the manager. “But we were going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What seems necessary is a pragmatic solution – involving superior ball control, a midfield adept of controlling the tempo, and a pragmatic readiness to sometimes accept a point. However, a desire to challenge on all fronts is stretching finite squad resources to their breaking point.
It may sound unthinkable to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions earlier could have eased the present fixture congestion. Amid critical Champions League and league matches on the horizon, the necessity to carefully choose focus areas is becoming ever more clear.
Eddie Howe recognized the size of the journey remaining. “When you're at a club of this size, the pressures are big. Every moment's critical. We have work to do in the league. We are in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to go through in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have a great deal of work to do to transform into the consistently winning side we aspire to be. The ability to string together winning runs has escaped us this season.
“The objective is to reach those levels we are aware we're able to reach. I believe that the assurance to do that is coming back. Yet now we have to demonstrate it. It ain't all doom and gloom currently, but the upcoming fixtures will decide much.”